18.104.22.168 | Message modified by user CatTales 9/18/2011, 4:03 am
I know it's early but let's take a look at how the run for the playoffs are shaping up in the ECOL. With 40% of the 2011 season in the books, 6-of-10 ECOL would qualify for the OHSAA playoffs if the season ended now.
In the Scarlet Division, Cambridge, and Dover would host first round games. The 4-0 'Cats would host 4-0 Minerva, while 3-1 Dover would host 4-0 Rayland Buckeye local.
New Philadelphia, 3-1, would travel to playKent Roosevelt, also 3-1. Zanesville, 3-1, would play on the road at Columbus Mifflin. Mifflin has one of the most unique nicknames in Ohio High School Sports. They are the Cow Punchers, or Punchers for short, as they're commonly called.
Missing the playoffs in the Scarlet Division would be Marietta with a record of 1-3.
In the Gray Division, 4-0 Claymont would host 4-0 Thornville Sheridan. Coshocton at 4-0, would host 3-1 Martins Ferry.
Missing the playoffs from the Gray Division would be Warsaw River View at 1-3, Byesville Meadowbrook at 1-2, and Zanesville Rosecrans at 2-2.
Obviously it probably will not pan out in this fashion. In the Scarlet Division, Cambridge has yet play Dover and Zanesville. Dover has yet to play Cambridge, New Philadelphia, and Zanesville. New Philadelphia has yet to play Dover and Zanesville, and Zanesville has to face Cambridge, Dover, and New Philadelphia. Running through that gauntlet will likely knock one or two of the four out of contention.
Barring major collapses, Coshocton and Claymont should make the playoffs in their respective divisional regions. That's right, I'm calling it, they're in. I also will call Marietta, River View, Meadowbrook, and Rosecrans as officially ready for basketball practice to begin.
Zanesville needs to win two of three against Cambridge, Dover, and New Philadelphia to secure a spot.
I think if Cambridge can get one win out of Dover, Zanesville, and Sheridan they'll make it. Beating Sheridan would give the 'Cats the best bet to get in. Sheridan seems like the best bet of the three to run the table in their league (MVL), giving us the most second level points. So lets take care of that this weekend. Then, as long as they cover East Liverpool, Marietta, and Meadowbrook, that would make the 'Cats 8-2 and I think they'd get in.
New Philadelphia, already with a loss to Cambridge, likely has to to beat Dover and Zanesville to have a legitimate shot at the playoffs. They are in at #6 in their region now and can't afford to slip much farther down the line.
Dover can get in by taking two-of-three against Cambridge, New Philadelphia, and Zanesville. Dover also has an ally in Dresden Tri-Valley. The Scotties have nearly as much of a chance of running through the MVL undefeated as Sheridan does. Dover already has a win over Tri-Valley. Cambridge has yet to face Sheridan. Dover also has a game remaining against upstart Claymont. Claymont appears set to win at least 8 games this season. Therefore, lots of level two computer points available for Dover with a win here.
I am assumming that these teams will not be beaten by Marietta. A loss to the Tigers would be devastating to playoff hopes.
Now I'm not a guru of this system but this is just how I see it. Many things can happen. Teams in front of you could lose unexpectedly, helping ECOL teams move up the rankings. Marlington Alliance for instance was upset this weekend. They were ranked in the AP Top Ten and were in the top eight in the regional computer rankings. Now they're sitting at #15 in D-III, Region 11 and would be considered a long shot without the help of more losses ahead of them in the rankings.
Can anyone help me see the light? Good luck to all the ECOL teams, but just a little more good luck to the 'Cats.
« Back to index