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In that case

Posted by NickMcG on 30/10/2009, 3:55 pm, in reply to "The Extra Information You Need"

P(player uses drug and tests positive) = .005*.99 P(player does not use drug and tests positive) = .995*.01 And, by Bayes Theorem: P(player uses drug) = .005*.99 / (.005*.99 + .995*.01) =~ 0.33222

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Message Thread: Tennis - Moby Dick 29/10/2009, 1:10 pm Re: Tennis - insufficient information - NickMcG 29/10/2009, 9:54 pm The Extra Information You Need - Moby Dick 30/10/2009, 12:08 pm In that case - NickMcG 30/10/2009, 3:55 pm Re: In that case - Moby Dick 30/10/2009, 4:04 pm « Back to thread

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