Typhoon2000 Discussion Center: WestPac finally becoming active...

[ Post a Response | Typhoon2000 Discussion Center ]

WestPac finally becoming active...

Posted by Webmaster (Michael Padua) on June 20, 2006, 8:48 am
Board Administrator

JTWC has re-issued their Tropical Weather Advisory around 1 AM Philippine Time...Based on latest satellite imagery loop, we do have quite a turning in the low-levels, thus FNMOC upgraded "98W" to a 20-kt, 1004mb. disturbance (LPA). There are also two other suspects, one near 18N 129E (90W) and near 6N 153E (91W). We are now gearing towards the month of July, where TCs dominance are more common. MJO likewise is fast approaching SCS and WestPac. I won't be surprised to see a TC before the month ends.
Here's the said advisory:
635
ABPW10 PGTW 191700
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN
/AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/191700Z-200600ZJUN2006//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.3N 140.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS,
IN ADDITION TO ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY, REVEALED A POSSIBLE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON
TROUGHING EQUATORWARD OF THE CAROLINE ISLANDS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
REVEALS THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A REGION OF LOW TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH FAVORABLE POLEWARD DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. SINCE THE LLCC REMAINS
UNCONSOLIDATED, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1).
FORECAST TEAM: CHARLIE//

Message Thread:

WestPac finally becoming active... - Webmaster (Michael Padua) June 20, 2006, 8:48 am
« Back to thread

Post a Response

Your Name:
Your Email:

Subject:

Message:

--Previous Message-- : JTWC has re-issued their Tropical Weather : Advisory around 1 AM Philippine Time...Based : on latest satellite imagery loop, we do have : quite a turning in the low-levels, thus : FNMOC upgraded "98W" to a 20-kt, : 1004mb. disturbance (LPA). There are also : two other suspects, one near 18N 129E (90W) : and near 6N 153E (91W). We are now gearing : towards the month of July, where TCs : dominance are more common. MJO likewise is : fast approaching SCS and WestPac. I won't be : surprised to see a TC before the month ends. : : Here's the said advisory: : 635 : ABPW10 PGTW 191700 : MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR : HI/JTWC// : SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY : FOR THE WESTERN : /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS : REISSUED/191700Z-200600ZJUN2006// : RMKS/ : 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY : PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: : NONE. : B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA : OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.3N : 140.7E, : APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. AN : EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS, : IN ADDITION TO ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL : IMAGERY, REVEALED A POSSIBLE : LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED : WITHIN THE MONSOON : TROUGHING EQUATORWARD OF THE CAROLINE : ISLANDS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS : REVEALS THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A : REGION OF LOW TO MODERATE : VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH FAVORABLE POLEWARD : DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM : SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 : KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL : PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. : SINCE THE LLCC REMAINS : UNCONSOLIDATED, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE : DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT : TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS : POOR. : (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. : 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH : AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE : SUMMARY: NONE. : B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. : 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR : AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). : FORECAST TEAM: CHARLIE// : : : : : : :

Optional Image URL:

Optional Link Title:
Optional Link URL:

Notify me by email of all message replies.

By posting, you confirm that you have read and agreed to be bound by the board's usage terms.

:: Receive Typhoon Updates directly on your mobile phones! To know more...Text T2K HELP to 216 (SMART & TNT), 2800 (GLOBE & TM) & 2288 (SUN).

Hosted for FREE by Boardhost.
Create your own free message board!