Typhoon2000 Discussion Center: 26W unsettle movement!!!

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26W unsettle movement!!!

Posted by weathergaines on December 17, 2006, 4:27 pm
210.213.174.83

Its seems there are difficulty on where this system will move. Here are my analysis towards this system:
Tropical depression 26W moves more on a NW to WNW tract for the past 6 hrs in response over the weakness of High over N Marinas and the intensification of frontal system that create a poleward channel. It slowed down and expected to continue slowing down between 13-15kts as competing systems, Strong High (1034mb) and frontal system become the steering mechanism for 26W. Latest animated satellite images shows some deepening area of convection over LLCC and improvement over its divergence wind and poleward and equatorial outflows that might cause some rapid intensification over 26W. It might reach a strong storm by tomorrow and eventually C1 by tuesday, however its movement still unsettle as to which will be expect to influence more 26W between this strong high over china and frontal system which likely to capture 26W more on the NE.
we must take precautionary measure coz anytime this moment this system change course in a bang.

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26W unsettle movement!!! - weathergaines December 17, 2006, 4:27 pm
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--Previous Message-- : Its seems there are difficulty on where this : system will move. Here are my analysis : towards this system: : Tropical depression 26W moves more on a NW : to WNW tract for the past 6 hrs in response : over the weakness of High over N Marinas and : the intensification of frontal system that : create a poleward channel. It slowed down : and expected to continue slowing down : between 13-15kts as competing systems, : Strong High (1034mb) and frontal system : become the steering mechanism for 26W. : Latest animated satellite images shows some : deepening area of convection over LLCC and : improvement over its divergence wind and : poleward and equatorial outflows that might : cause some rapid intensification over 26W. : It might reach a strong storm by tomorrow : and eventually C1 by tuesday, however its : movement still unsettle as to which will be : expect to influence more 26W between this : strong high over china and frontal system : which likely to capture 26W more on the NE. : : we must take precautionary measure coz : anytime this moment this system change : course in a bang. : :

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