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Posted by weathergaines
on April 28, 2008, 12:40 pm
202.128.50.162
It seems that amount of rainfall likely to double this rainy season that might resulted to more flashfloods and landslide as onset of rainy season likely to be 1 week ahead from its original arrival. Based on gathered data from TRMM (TOVAS), rainfall in metro manila alone this 1st quarter balloon to 412.65mm compared to 206.34mm of 2006 and 72.45mm of 2007 (2006 as moderate La Niņa and 2007 as moderate El Niņo), and in April alone 58.29mm of rain already soaked the city compared to 33.89mm of 2006 and 48.96 of 2007 (note, April 2008 amount as of 26th day only and rising as rain expected within the next 2-3 days).
In Philippines as a whole, 1st quarter alone, a ballooning 5026.29mm total rainfall accumulated over Samar alone compared to 2991 mm of 2006 and 3166.20mm of 2007 both over Eastern Visayas to Eastern Mindanao. April alone 686.49mm during 2006 and 1232.16mm of 2007 compared to 866.79mm of 2008 (with errors as April 10-14 data lost as when TRMM (TOVAS) down that time).
If this data speaks, it shows that as
rainy season within the next 2 weeks, probably rainfall will rose double as La Niņa phenomenon continues to affect the country.
However, based on conditioning over Western Pacific, SST and 26C deep temperature are warmer enough and OHC over near Philippines rose to about 120 kj favourable enough to help low pressure system developed into tropical cyclone.
We need to prepare and act this time to avoid lost of lives and better no disaster related death (such as landslide and flashflood related death) happens this 2008.
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