Re: Is Typhoon RAMIL (LUPIT) veering away from the country?
Posted by dexterlabio on October 18, 2009, 12:43 pm, in reply to "Is Typhoon RAMIL (LUPIT) veering away from the country?"
: I am currently viewing the latest satellite
: animation of TY Lupit in JMA's satellite
: imagery. It seems that Lupit is drifting
: northeast to east very slowly. The mid-level
: low pressure trough is pulling Lupit to the
: northeast. I don't know but it looks like TY
: Lupit is veering away from the country, and
: it's already on a high latitude (17
: degrees). However, I remember a similar
: typhoon, UNDING (MUIFA) which drifted east
: to north east then performed a clockwise
: loop and tracked west-southwest.
I got a second thought on Lupit's movement. A while ago, I tried to locate the exact positions of the subtropical ridge, HPA, and the mid-latitude low which are affecting Lupit's movement. The mid-latitude low passing north of Lupit is bringing the system to the northeast. In JMA's weather map, a HPA in China is moving east, and another HPA to develop in Japan, so I must say that these will slow down Lupit's movement and make it drift to the southeast. I think the alternative scenario is very imminent now, the counter-clockwise loop then heading towards the main island of Luzon.
My prediction might not be possible, but if you take a look at the current track of Lupit, it is somehow performing a counter-clockwise loop.