
Posted by weathergaines THIS IS SUBJECT TO CHANGES FOR IMAGERIES AND FIGURES VISIT LINK ABOVE.
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on March 4, 2010, 4:21 pm
122.3.115.13 | Message modified by user weathergaines March 4, 2010, 4:23 pm
http://weathergaines.blogspot.com/2010/03/2nd-quarter-forecast-of-2010.html
* It is most likely that hotter and drier condition will persist in the next 2-3 months (March-May) as atmospheric and oceanic conditions not favors to any convective type of formation near the Philippines.
* 150m depth average temperature anomalies, Sea height anomalies and depth 26C shows very cold thermocline were observed near the Philippines both in South China sea and Philippine sea.
* Positive OLR anomalies also shows drier conditions remains present over near the Philippines.
* Compared to last year, Series of High pressure area dominates most of the country.
* Way below normal rainfall is expected over Mindanao and Eastern Visayas this March to April with rain rate of 3-4mm/hr.
* Dry East to Southeast trade winds is expected with possible late arrival of Southwesterly wind flow.
* Though possible tropical cyclone formations at 155-170E due to very warm SST and thermocline and abundant moisture availability both atmospheric and oceanic, however at 110-145E, there's a slim chances this will happened due to both unfavorable atmospheric and Oceanic conditions over the said longitude.
* Overall, hot and dry climate is expected over middle of 2nd quarter of 2010 (April-middle of may) with below average rainfall over the remaining of 2nd Quarter (Mid of may-June).
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