Re: DRIER AND HOTTER 2ND QUARTER EXPECTED IN RP
Posted by weathergaines on March 9, 2010, 3:59 pm, in reply to "Re: DRIER AND HOTTER 2ND QUARTER EXPECTED IN RP"
Possibility remains as of this time as temperature soars at 36C here with some 36.5-37C over some areas most specially over metropolitan areas. As we enter to March Equinox (also known as vernal equinox) the sun is directly over the equator at noon which means equal day and night expected. We expect length of day will be longer than night starting end of march allowing more heat from the sun. We expect to experience the peak of hotter days (possible soaring temperature up to 37-38C or hotter) in between mid april to May wherein sun is directly over the philippines (in manila it is between first week-second week of may) at noon. |
however, after this prolonged hot weather, Philippines must brace for the pre-monsoon season as this hotter temperature could lead to severe and intense thunderstorms and possibly hail and tornadic formations to some areas.
: So,can we expect that the temperature here in
: metro manila can reach between 38-40 degrees
: celsius and 40-42 degrees in tuguegarao
: --Previous Message--
: * It is most likely that hotter and
: drier condition will persist in the next 2-3
: months (March-May) as atmospheric and
: oceanic conditions not favors to any
: convective type of formation near the
: * 150m depth average temperature
: anomalies, Sea height anomalies and depth
: 26C shows very cold thermocline were
: observed near the Philippines both in South
: China sea and Philippine sea.
: * Positive OLR anomalies also shows
: drier conditions remains present over near
: the Philippines.
: * Compared to last year, Series of High
: pressure area dominates most of the country.
: * Way below normal rainfall is expected
: over Mindanao and Eastern Visayas this March
: to April with rain rate of 3-4mm/hr.
: * Dry East to Southeast trade winds is
: expected with possible late arrival of
: Southwesterly wind flow.
: * Though possible tropical cyclone
: formations at 155-170E due to very warm SST
: and thermocline and abundant moisture
: availability both atmospheric and oceanic,
: however at 110-145E, there's a slim chances
: this will happened due to both unfavorable
: atmospheric and Oceanic conditions over the
: said longitude.
: * Overall, hot and dry climate is
: expected over middle of 2nd quarter of 2010
: (April-middle of may) with below average
: rainfall over the remaining of 2nd Quarter
: (Mid of may-June).
: THIS IS SUBJECT TO CHANGES
: FOR IMAGERIES AND FIGURES VISIT LINK ABOVE.