please read this article published in 1998:
Our season is similar to '98. Changing from a strong el nino towards la nina.
And take note that the Madden-Julian Oscillation's Wet-phase -- which triggers TC remains stationary over the Indian Ocean.
Another thing is the strong easterly trades up to the SCS. A signal that the lady child is coming.
I think July is the month to see a TC forming. ECMWF already has shown a system developing west of Luzon or off the SCS.
Overall, Dr. Chan's forecast of a below-average 2010 Season is most likely.
« Back to index
:: Receive Typhoon Updates directly on your mobile phones! To know more...Text T2K HELP to 216 (SMART & TNT), 2800 (GLOBE & TM) & 2288 (SUN).