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Re: TUTT cells
Posted by Nikos on June 22, 2010, 8:53 am, in reply to "Re: TUTT cells"
I couldn't agree more! Thanks for the link.
I'll send the link to my friend in PAGASA who happens to be a forecaster there.
So that explains it! No wonder our good old habagat could not reach beyond Indo-China.
I was thinking that perhaps the enhanced precipitation in Southern China is also part of this post-El Nino pattern or maybe another pattern overlapping this one?
: Yup Nikos,
: please read this article published in 1998:
: Our season is similar to '98. Changing from
: a strong el nino towards la nina.
: And take note that the Madden-Julian
: Oscillation's Wet-phase -- which triggers TC
: remains stationary over the Indian Ocean.
: Another thing is the strong easterly trades
: up to the SCS. A signal that the lady child
: is coming.
: I think July is the month to see a TC
: forming. ECMWF already has shown a system
: developing west of Luzon or off the SCS.
: Overall, Dr. Chan's forecast of a
: below-average 2010 Season is most likely.
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