since day 1 they upgrade it I am a bit curious on how and what PAGASA's basis for this time to categories this system as a tropical storm.. how they measure the windspeed.
scatterometer which determines surface windspeed over the area remains at 5-10kt windspeed at different direction meaning there is no close circulation yet.
Vortices over the area remain low to moderate indication that not much strong updraft over the area which produces significant thuderclouds/MCS over the area.
MCS if ever, remains scattered along the area except over 96w and 97W which is also showing non consistent circulations
dvorak estimation is below 1.0 which means surface pressure is not consistently below 1008mb
from here, how did they gather maximum speed of winds of up to 65-80kph to the point the exiting windspeed along the area were 10-15kt or 19-28kph????
this only shows how incompetent they are in analysing weather images, charts and even other agencies info to have an accurate and more reliable forecast...
2 in a row... they made a wrong forecast
how will people believe in them if they did such lapses... they must know that everyone rich or poor, businessman, students, professionals, not only here and abroad rely on them...
a single forecast is very serious and important because our lives not only depends on it but also our economy as well... they must know this.....
again.. you don't need to become a good meteorologist to have an accurate forecast.. it is how you understand, analyze and become passionate with it
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