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Posted by Gus
on August 28, 2010, 1:51 pm, in reply to "Re: Awaiting the Habagat"
112.206.88.14
Because of the El-Nino-La Nina transition,we will have weaker than average southwest monsoon activity,therefore the eastern sections of the philippines will experience above average rainfall while the western sections especially luzon and visayas will have near average rainfall to slightly below rainfall in the coming months.
--Previous Message--
: Yup! Intermittent in a way, our chance is to
: have TCs to suck in the SW Monsoon into our
: area. The approaching La Nina conditions
: will restrict the SW Monsoon along the NIO
: and IndoChina for quite sometime.
:
: Extended numerical models suggests possible
: TC Formation off the Philippine Sea-NW
: Pacific Area July 13-19 (as mentioned over
: at my site).
:
: The MJO Run at this time is very similar to
: that of the 1998 MJO Timeline Series. Below
: are graphics comparing the 1998 and 2010
: Season - which are both "Post-El Nino
: towards La Nina" Scenario.
:
: JANUARY to JULY 05, 2010:
:
:
: JANUARY to DECEMBER 1998:
:
:
:
: TAKE NOTE OF THE BLUE (ENHANCED) SHADED MJO
: WHERE TWO SUPER TYPHOONS (ILIANG/LOLENG)
: TOOK PLACE IN OCTOBER 1998.
:
:
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