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Posted by weathergaines
on November 26, 2010, 1:50 am, in reply to "Frontal Boundary Convection"
112.203.82.18
so far chances it may become a tropical cyclone (94W) is low as cold surge now beginning to wrap around 94w. evidence of this is the cold front now position more to Luzon causing some drop of temperature possible atleast 22-21C within the next 2-3 days.. drier air also reaches half of SCS and may further imperil its further intensification.. what keeps it convection alive are the 31C SST, lower shear at 12.5kt average, moderate-strong vorticity for spinning, above average moisture along mid-upper level.
--Previous Message--
: Wow, the thunderstorms along the diffused end
: of the stationary front over Central Luzon
: here is crazy! It's a really a pleasure to
: see the weather unfold.
:
: I was kinda hoping that the previous LPA
: embedded in the stationary front NE of Luzon
: (was it 92W??) deepen into a tropical
: cyclone so as to recreate the scenario early
: 2009 where the polar air mass really
: intruded into the northern Philippines.
: Well, i guess that won't happen alright? The
: La Niña enhanced easterlies would prevent
: it.
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